Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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Nobody can anticipate the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With up to date news and a small but tough 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to address mankind's hardest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain many pressing questions that are less easy to determine. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a large language design to be much better at predicting the future (and have seen some interesting improvements - term paper incoming). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is in fact on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from many months ago so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified area to make its finest forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We presented the following concerns to our AI and assessed its action. While we have seen forecast improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own hazard.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...
First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been encouraging of his profession, forum.altaycoins.com attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her good friends and household to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.
Some fans are delighted, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially given remarks Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.
I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential event, the odds and his actions suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low possibility, possibly around 5%, considering all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this game.
Alright, I'm attempting to find out the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand what precisely a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and strategy.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I also require to consider the defensive strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they may adjust their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 appears like a significant number but possible offered their self-confidence, I would estimate a possibility around 60-70% possibility. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it several times, specifically if it's effective early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That seems considerable due to the fact that it shows he's done it before, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent short articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could imply he's less likely to address Trump this time.
However, he's likewise associated with a fight with Drake, which may offer him reasons to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a disparagement match from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about consisting of any controversial songs in the efficiency. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar may feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations throughout the halftime program, so there's a danger that such content may be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant relocations on huge stages. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which may provide him more creative liberty. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public performances.
But I also remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, especially if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, current shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the probability seems to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% chance
Lets be truthful, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to trigger offense which he actually discovered it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Looking at the articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who enjoys consuming, especially with his group. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, specifically if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% chance
"Tails never fails?" You can't fool the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can happen when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical data that may influence this forecast.
First, I check out the short articles offered. They all point out the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has actually come up more often than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a small edge, but it's not a big difference.
However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is generally considered random. The slight historical edge for tails might be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, in some cases individuals weigh historical information even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I must consider whether this historic predisposition must affect the likelihood.
After thinking of it, I choose that while the historical data reveals a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial sufficient to move the likelihood far from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the minor historic edge exists however does not override the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the exact same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI states the possibilities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of short articles that talk about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable calls in current video games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their group loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "outrageous." They say there's no evidence of systematic predisposition. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might mean there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some reality to it.
Looking at the articles, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that analytical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been penalized more considering that 2022. That's fascinating because if they were getting unique treatment, you might charges, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably very low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't dismiss every possibility, however very unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everyone, is it even worth enjoying the game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hey, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.
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Our Brand-new Deepseek-based AI Says
jaipuente61010 edited this page 2025-02-11 21:06:30 +08:00