1 Our new Deepseek-based AI Says

Ada Koehler edited this page 2025-02-12 18:45:35 +08:00

Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl forecasts from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

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No one can predict the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its finest shot. With up to date news and a little however tough 14 Billion criterion model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to respond to mankind's toughest concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, simply as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain lots of pressing questions that are less simple to pin down. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some intriguing enhancements - term paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion specification design which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from many months ago so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown territory to make its best forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We posed the following questions to our AI and assessed its response. While we have actually seen prediction enhancements from our training, use these estimates for prop betting at your own hazard.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, however a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been encouraging of his career, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.

Some fans are excited, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially offered comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.

I believe the crucial points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential occasion, the odds and his actions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low probability, maybe around 5%, thinking about all aspects.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a different front-tush being . Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm trying to find out the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it seems like it's a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and strategy.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I also require to consider the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are mindful of the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might change their defense appropriately, which might either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.

Considering that more than five appears like a significant number however possible given their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the method, and the probability that they'll utilize it several times, specifically if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program performance?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, king-wifi.win waffling backward and forward, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.

From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That seems considerable since it shows he's done it in the past, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent articles, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could suggest he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's also included in a fight with Drake, which might provide him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a character assassination suit from Drake, so maybe he bewares about including any questionable songs in the performance. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations during the halftime show, so there's a danger that such content might be restricted or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making vibrant proceed huge phases. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which may offer him more innovative freedom. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public performances.

But I also remember reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal issues, and the occasion's context-the possibility seems to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% opportunity

Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Appears like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to cause offense and that he really found it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the short articles, it discusses that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he's an individual who delights in eating, specifically with his group. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can occur when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to determine the likelihood that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, but there's some historical data that might affect this prediction.

First, I go through the posts supplied. They all mention the historical stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It seems like tails has shown up regularly than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a small edge, but it's not a big distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is typically considered random. The minor historical edge for bytes-the-dust.com tails might be due to opportunity. But when making forecasts, in some cases individuals weigh historical information even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I must consider whether this historical bias needs to influence the probability.

After considering it, I choose that while the historic information shows a slight preference for tails, it's not statistically significant adequate to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historical edge exists however doesn't bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely think the very same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI states the chances are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of articles that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable calls in recent video games, specifically the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to spark some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "absurd." They state there's no evidence of systematic bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might imply there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, forum.pinoo.com.tr and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that statistical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have actually been punished more because 2022. That's intriguing due to the fact that if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting it all together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero because you can't dismiss every possibility, but extremely unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth watching the game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the video game ends up before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a good game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about everything, at least it can gain from this.